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Serie A Simulated Standings

Monte Carlo projection of final league positions based on Poisson-sampled scorelines.

Mode:
Run more:
340 played · 40 remaining · 10,000 / 1,000,000 sims
Team1234567891011121314151617181920
InterInter
100%<1%——————————————————
NapoliNapoli
<1%62%28%8%2%<1%——————————————
AC MilanAC Milan
—30%44%20%6%1%——————————————
JuventusJuventus
—6%20%42%23%9%<1%—————————————
ComoComo
—1%5%18%37%37%2%—————————————
AS RomaAS Roma
—<1%3%13%32%49%3%—————————————
AtalantaAtalanta
———<1%1%4%88%6%1%<1%——————————
BolognaBologna
——————5%42%30%17%5%1%<1%<1%——————
LazioLazio
——————2%33%32%22%9%2%<1%<1%——————
SassuoloSassuolo
——————1%16%25%32%17%8%3%1%<1%—————
UdineseUdinese
———————2%7%15%32%22%13%7%2%<1%————
ParmaParma
———————1%3%8%18%29%21%13%5%1%————
TorinoTorino
———————<1%2%6%14%20%26%19%10%4%<1%———
GenoaGenoa
————————<1%1%4%10%19%26%25%14%<1%<1%——
FiorentinaFiorentina
————————<1%<1%1%5%12%23%31%26%1%<1%——
CagliariCagliari
————————<1%<1%1%3%6%11%26%51%3%<1%——
LecceLecce
—————————————<1%<1%3%51%46%<1%—
CremoneseCremonese
——————————————<1%1%45%53%1%<1%
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
————————————————<1%1%64%35%
PisaPisa
————————————————<1%<1%35%65%

Each row shows the probability (across 10,000 simulations) that the team finishes in each league position. Rows are sorted by most common projected finishing position. Hover a row for projected finish, points, GD, and range.

Click +N to run additional simulations — results accumulate over time and are reset automatically when a new game finishes. Static uses league-average scoring rates; Weighted uses per-team attack and defense strengths derived from completed results; Form is the same as weighted but recent games count more (45-day half-life). Dashed grey cells indicate positions that were never reached in any simulation.