Monte Carlo projection of final league positions based on Poisson-sampled scorelines.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| <1% | 62% | 28% | 8% | 2% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | 30% | 44% | 20% | 6% | 1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | 6% | 20% | 42% | 23% | 9% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | 1% | 5% | 18% | 37% | 37% | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | <1% | 3% | 13% | 32% | 49% | 3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | <1% | 1% | 4% | 88% | 6% | 1% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 5% | 42% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 2% | 33% | 32% | 22% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 1% | 16% | 25% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2% | 7% | 15% | 32% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1% | 3% | 8% | 18% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 1% | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 19% | 10% | 4% | <1% | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 26% | 25% | 14% | <1% | <1% | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 31% | 26% | 1% | <1% | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 26% | 51% | 3% | <1% | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | <1% | 3% | 51% | 46% | <1% | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | 1% | 45% | 53% | 1% | <1% | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | 1% | 64% | 35% | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | <1% | <1% | 35% | 65% |
Each row shows the probability (across 10,000 simulations) that the team finishes in each league position. Rows are sorted by most common projected finishing position. Hover a row for projected finish, points, GD, and range.
Click +N to run additional simulations — results accumulate over time and are reset automatically when a new game finishes. Static uses league-average scoring rates; Weighted uses per-team attack and defense strengths derived from completed results; Form is the same as weighted but recent games count more (45-day half-life). Dashed grey cells indicate positions that were never reached in any simulation.