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Ligue 1 Simulated Standings

Monte Carlo projection of final league positions based on Poisson-sampled scorelines.

Mode:
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277 played · 29 remaining · 10,000 / 1,000,000 sims
Team123456789101112131415161718
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
95%5%————————————————
LensLens
5%93%2%———————————————
LyonLyon
—2%70%19%8%1%<1%———————————
LilleLille
—<1%17%40%26%12%5%<1%——————————
RennesRennes
——8%18%29%28%17%<1%——————————
MarseilleMarseille
——4%17%25%30%23%1%<1%—————————
MonacoMonaco
——1%5%12%28%48%6%<1%—————————
StrasbourgStrasbourg
———<1%<1%1%5%53%30%8%2%<1%——————
LorientLorient
—————<1%1%35%48%13%3%<1%——————
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
———————4%11%32%25%23%5%<1%<1%———
ToulouseToulouse
———————1%5%20%36%33%5%<1%————
Paris FCParis FC
———————1%6%25%30%34%5%<1%————
AngersAngers
—————————1%3%10%67%15%3%<1%——
Le HavreLe Havre
——————————<1%<1%11%47%35%6%——
NiceNice
————————————7%32%46%15%<1%—
AuxerreAuxerre
————————————<1%5%15%75%4%—
NantesNantes
——————————————<1%4%91%4%
MetzMetz
————————————————4%96%

Each row shows the probability (across 10,000 simulations) that the team finishes in each league position. Rows are sorted by most common projected finishing position. Hover a row for projected finish, points, GD, and range.

Click +N to run additional simulations — results accumulate over time and are reset automatically when a new game finishes. Static uses league-average scoring rates; Weighted uses per-team attack and defense strengths derived from completed results; Form is the same as weighted but recent games count more (45-day half-life). Dashed grey cells indicate positions that were never reached in any simulation.