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Championship Simulated Standings

Monte Carlo projection of final league positions based on Poisson-sampled scorelines.

Mode:
Run more:
540 played · 12 remaining · 10,000 / 1,000,000 sims
Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
CoventryCoventry
100%———————————————————————
IpswichIpswich
—61%30%10%————————————————————
MillwallMillwall
—30%49%21%————————————————————
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
—9%22%57%13%———————————————————
SouthamptonSouthampton
———13%87%———————————————————
WrexhamWrexham
—————49%30%21%————————————————
Hull CityHull City
—————35%37%28%————————————————
DerbyDerby
—————16%33%51%————————————————
NorwichNorwich
————————87%13%——————————————
BirminghamBirmingham
————————13%65%21%1%————————————
SwanseaSwansea
—————————21%38%28%13%<1%——————————
PrestonPreston
—————————1%28%36%21%10%4%<1%————————
Bristol CityBristol City
——————————14%27%29%22%8%1%————————
QPRQPR
——————————<1%5%15%24%29%22%5%———————
WatfordWatford
———————————1%9%24%24%32%10%<1%——————
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
———————————3%12%17%26%33%10%———————
Stoke CityStoke City
—————————————4%10%11%36%34%6%—————
PortsmouthPortsmouth
———————————————<1%33%28%25%12%2%———
CharltonCharlton
————————————————7%18%30%34%10%———
BlackburnBlackburn
—————————————————17%27%35%21%———
West BromWest Brom
—————————————————3%12%18%67%———
Oxford UnitedOxford United
—————————————————————100%——
LeicesterLeicester
——————————————————————100%—
Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
———————————————————————100%

Each row shows the probability (across 10,000 simulations) that the team finishes in each league position. Rows are sorted by most common projected finishing position. Hover a row for projected finish, points, GD, and range.

Click +N to run additional simulations — results accumulate over time and are reset automatically when a new game finishes. Static uses league-average scoring rates; Weighted uses per-team attack and defense strengths derived from completed results; Form is the same as weighted but recent games count more (45-day half-life). Dashed grey cells indicate positions that were never reached in any simulation.