Major League Soccer Simulated Standings
Monte Carlo projection of final league positions based on Poisson-sampled scorelines.
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144 played · 366 remaining · 1,000 / 50,000 sims
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Jose Earthquakes | 33% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Vancouver Whitecaps | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | — |
 Nashville SC | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | — |
 Seattle Sounders | 10% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | — | <1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% |
 Inter Miami | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 Chicago Fire | 3% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 New England Revolution | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 Los Angeles FC | 4% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | — |
 Real Salt Lake | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 Minnesota United FC | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 New York Red Bulls | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
 Houston Dynamo | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
 Charlotte | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
 FC Cincinnati | <1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
 Colorado Rapids | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
 Portland Timbers | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
 New York City FC | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
 FC Dallas | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
 San Diego | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
 Columbus Crew | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
 DC United | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
 Toronto FC | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
 CF Montreal | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
 Austin | — | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
 Los Angeles Galaxy | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
 St. Louis City | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 11% |
 Orlando City SC | <1% | — | — | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 11% |
 Atlanta United FC | — | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 13% |
 Sporting Kansas City | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% |
 Philadelphia Union | — | — | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 16% |
Each row shows the probability (across 1,000 simulations) that the team finishes in each league position. Rows are sorted by most common projected finishing position. Hover a row for projected finish, points, GD, and range.
Click +N to run additional simulations — results accumulate over time and are reset automatically when a new game finishes. Static uses league-average scoring rates; Weighted uses per-team attack and defense strengths derived from completed results; Form is the same as weighted but recent games count more (45-day half-life). Dashed grey cells indicate positions that were never reached in any simulation.